Friday, 31 August 2012

Predictions before the start of Aviva Premiership 2012/2013

Aviva Premiership - arguably the best and the most interesting league in Europe - starts on Saturday (01.09.2012). There are 8 months of excitement ahead. Will Harlequins defend their silverware? How well will London Welsh perform? We’ll soon find out the answers to these questions. Below, you will find my short review of every team and also my forecast. There are two numbers next to every team - first is my predicted position in the table after the full season and the second, in brackets, is the position from the last season. Also, I recommend a very good website to everyone who is interested in making some free predictions and taking part in fun, competitive online rugby leagues.

Leicester Tigers
1 (2)
Leicester Tigers is one of the best teams in England. They have won English Premiership 9 times so far. Their domestic and European targets are always at the highest levels. This season will not be different. The team had to swallow a bitter pill after the defeat in the last final so this season they will have extra motivation to get the title back. A few great players left the team – Julian White, Alesana Tuilagi and Billy Twelvetrees, however the club is well known for producing talented players, so I think that the coaches will have plenty to choose from. In my opinion, Leicester Tigers are a very dangerous opponent for other teams. I see them as the main candidate to win the league in the 2012/2013 season. Will they be good enough to reach for the 10th title? We will soon find out.

2 (1)

The Champions were doing great in the past season and played very good, entertaining rugby. The team’s performance was spot on throughout the entire season and in play-offs. The players and coaches will definitely be hungry for more glory. A very gifted skipper Chris Robshaw, supported by his experienced team-mates, will have much more challenging task this year. Each and every opponent will be extra motivated to get the champions’ scalp. However, in my opinion Harlequins have a great potential to establish themselves as a force once more and finish among the top teams.

3 (3)

The team triumphed in 2010/2011 season and lost in the semi-finals in 2011/2012. Saracens definitely belong to the elite of European rugby teams. They are well known for the effective defense. This year’s aim is finishing at least in the top four. Charlie Hodgson and Chris Ashton will surely prove a great investment which will help the scoreboard ticking. The club’s coach Andy Farrell has now left, we will soon see how this will influence the team's performance. My prediction – 3rd place.

Sale Sharks
4 (6)

Sale Sharks saw the biggest changes of all teams. The club attracted attention of many newspaper headlines. First of all, the only North-West team has moved to new grounds. The old Edgeley Park, has been replaced by a beautiful, modern, £26 million Salford City Stadium. Secondly, the team's new chairman and former player Steve Diamond has begun “The Diamond’s revolution”. Its outcome was recruiting a great coach Bryan Redpath and excellent international players such as Riche Gray, Danny Cipriani and Andy Powell. The club’s metamorphosis happened at various levels, starting from the change of kit supplier from Cotton Traders to Canterbury and the move from Stockport to Salford and finishing on personnel changes. Last season, the club finished 6th and qualified to Heineken Cup. This time they aim at finishing among the first four teams and hope to fight for Aviva Premiership and Heineken Cup honours. Sharks' supporters and players would like to return to times of glory from 2006. I believe that reaching play-offs is a realistic target.

Northampton Saints
5 (4)

The team from Northampton, 2011/2012 Heineken Cup runner-up, although they finished in the top four in Aviva Premiership in the past three seasons and performed well in Heineken Cup, they may feel they have underachieved. Their last big success was winning Amlin Challenge Cup in 2009. Chris Ashton has now left the team and it will be difficult to replace him. Also, the team will have to deal with losing some of its best players in the upcoming Six Nations. Looking at the last warm-up games which Saints won defeating Leinster 43:0 and Edinburgh 54:3, we may suspect that the team is in a good shape. The fact that they are missing some major players in Six Nations games can mean that the team will struggle to qualify to play-offs.

Exeter Chiefs
6 (5)

Exeter Chiefs are the biggest surprise of the seasons gone.  2 years ago, the newly promoted team, which was deemed to fail, finished on the 8th place. A year later, with the 6th position, they qualified to Heineken Cup. Exeter Chiefs brought in some freshness to Aviva Premiership and gained the deserved respect also among supporters of other teams. Although there are no big names among the players, the team shows incredible work ethic, ambition and team play. This year, Exeter cannot expect that any of the participants will underestimate them as the opponent and the experience gained in the past seasons will surely bring some good results. In my opinion, the team has a high chance of qualifying to Heineken Cup.

7 (8)

Bath, a club with long history, was established in 1865. In the nineties, Bath was the main force in English premiership and gained the title 6 times. In the past years, we have witnessed its slow decline. Bath tends to take a position in the middle of the table. I see this team as the most unpredictable one. It’s very difficult to comment on its shape, however I wouldn’t be surprised if they beat Leicester or Harlequins and at the same time lose to the weaker opponents. I think that Bath will end up in the middle but they will still attempt to get to the play-off stage.

8 (9)

For Gloucester the past season was not successful as they took the 9th position in the table. The team has recently been strengthened by such players as Billy Twelvetrees and Ben Morgan and the new coach Nigel Davies. Gloucester would definitely like to climb up the table ladder. I think that the 8th place can be within their range but I don’t believe that they will be able to successfully compete in the fight for the first four positions.

London Irish
9 (7)

London Irish saw a great revolution in their ranks. 19 players have left! The new coach Brian Smith as well as talented players such as Tomas O'Leary, Ian Humphreys and Sailosi Tagicakibau joined the team. It makes me think that London Irish will show good and attractive rugby this season. They will fight for the high position however the upcoming season will only be a transitional period. The priority for London Irish is to gel the team.

London Wasps
10 (11)

In the times of Lawrence Dallaglio, London Wasps were the rugby leaders in England and Europe. However, their performance in the past years was far from perfect. The club had to face some problems. In 2011/2012 Wasps had to fight with Newcastle Falcons in the relegation battle rather than compete with the best. The team definitely needs a change and restructure to be back among the top dogs again. The loss of players such as Ricky Flutey and Rob Webber will not make it easier. This season, in my opinion, will not be as dramatic as the last one but I wouldn’t hope for the team’s finish in the top half of the table.

Worcester Warriors
11 (10)

Worcester Warriors are experienced in escaping relegation. Unfortunately, in the past years they were often engaged in the battle for a safe position to avoid relegation. I must admit that the team can cope with difficult situations and after a year in RFU Championship it bounced up to Aviva Premiership straight away. As the team lost its 14 players, I believe that again they will be involved in the fight to survive.

London Welsh
12 (recently promoted)

London Welsh - new boys in Aviva Premiership – have become known for the club's promotion fuss. Although they won the RFU Championship final, they were refused to join the top league as they failed to meet the criteria for the stadium. The club have successfully appealed from the decision. A lot of  people enthusiastically supported London Welsh case and were happy to hear the outcome of the appeal. So, London Welsh won the battle in the courts to face even more difficult task – they need to maintain its position among the best teams in England. The team will definitely want to learn from Exeter’s attitude which helped the Chiefs in smooth transition to the higher league. Copying Exeter’s success won’t be easy, though. The margin for error in Aviva Premiership is very small and the league itself is more and more demanding every year. Stronger teams will not let themselves underestimate the new opponent and drop the points. Although I wish London Welsh all the best, I believe that their romance with Aviva Premiership will be short. In my opinion they are the main candidate to relegation.